Bangsamoro vote leaves no clear winner, sets off coalition race on NewsLine Philippines - Building Information Highway for the Community
COTABATO CITY (September 22) — No party won enough seats to govern alone in the Bangsamoro’s first regular parliamentary elections, setting off a race for the 41 votes needed to form the region’s first elected government and choose its Chief Minister.
The 80-seat Parliament is divided among several political blocs, with the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) emerging with the largest bloc at 31 seats, followed by the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) with 30.
The 41-seat majority mark means BFP needs at least 10 additional votes to command Parliament, while UBJP needs 11.
The BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) also holds a substantial bloc, making the distribution of seats outside the two leading parties potentially decisive in coalition negotiations.
The final numbers combine three categories of parliamentary seats: 40 regional party seats, 32 district seats and eight sectoral seats, for a total of 80.
In the regional party vote, BFP won 16 seats, UBJP 15, BGC 8 and the Raayat Democratic Party 1.
The 32 district seats were distributed among several parties. BFP won 15, UBJP 9, Serbisyong Inklusibo Alyansang Progresibo (SIAP) 6, while the Progresibong Bangsamoro Party and Al-Ittihad-UKB won one each.
The remaining eight seats are sectoral representatives, covering settler communities, women, youth, ulama, traditional leaders and Non-Moro Indigenous Peoples.
This is why the regional-party tally alone does not determine who controls the Parliament. The decisive figure is the combined 80-seat composition.
With no bloc reaching 41 seats, coalition-building now becomes the central political contest.
For BFP, the arithmetic is straightforward: 31 + 10 = 41.
For UBJP: 30 + 11 = 41.
Any coalition involving either of the two largest blocs will therefore need commitments from lawmakers outside its existing 30- or 31-member base.
The first major test will come when Parliament organizes itself and elects its officers. That vote will provide an early indication of which group has assembled the numbers needed to command the chamber.
The next and more consequential vote will be the election of the Chief Minister, who must secure the required parliamentary majority.
The result means the Sept. 14 election settled the composition of the Parliament but not yet the question of who will govern.
That question will be decided through the coalition negotiations now underway — and ultimately by whether one political alliance can put together the magic number: 41 out of 80.
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Bangsamoro vote leaves no clear winner, sets off coalition race
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